This is a play against the Oakland offense as much as it is a play on Lugo’s dominance. Oakland is in the bottom five in the AL in runs scored and have scored two runs or fewer in their last four games. They will be facing a pitcher in Lugo that has given up two runs or less in all but one of his starts this season.  Kansas City are a top 10 offense in runs and they have given up the third least number of runs in the AL. The Royals have hit the under in three of their last four games played and Oakland has gone 2-0-1 on the under in their last three games. I don’t see the Royals scoring enough to push this one over the number.

Play on the UNDER. This is a 4% play.

Two of the two top teams in the A.L. Central square off Saturday. The Minnesota Twins will go with Bailey Ober on the mound. He is 4-1, with a 3.77 ERA. The Cleveland Indians will send Logan Allen to the mound. He is 4-2, with a 5.56 ERA. In three games this season, the teams averaged a combined five runs per game including a 3-2 game yesterday. These two teams have gone under in 42 games this season. The under is 7-3 in the last ten meetings between these teams, with seven of those games having at least one of the teams scoring two runs or less. The Twins have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. The Guardians have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six. I look for a similar game to yesterdays.

Play on the UNDER. This is a free play

Philadelphia is 32-14 overall this season and is coming off a 4-2 win over the nationals yesterday. The Phillies have won six of their last eight games. Washington is 20-23 overall and have lost five of their last six games. Mackenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals. He is 2-4 with a 3.38 ERA. Washington is 3-5 when Gore has started this season. The Phillies will go with  Cristopher Sanchez on the mound. He is 2-3 with a 3.43 ERA his season. He has a 1.88 ERA in four home starts. The Phillies are 3-5 when Sanchez has started. Philadelphia has by far the better offense while Washington struggles to score runs. Lay the 1.5 runs with the Phillies.

Play on Philadelphia minus 1.5 runs. This is a 3% play.

Chicago has the league's best pitcher going against the Pirates Shota Imanaga taking the mound. He has posted a 0,96 ERA and is 5-0 this season. The Cubs are dealing with injuries to some key players and their offense is somewhat stagnant. Bailey Falter faced the Cubs earlier and went six innings and allowed just two runs. The Pirates put up nine runs yesterday on the Cubs but I don’t see them having that much success against Imanaga. I don’t trust the Cubs offense to score a lot either.

Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play.

The Chicago White Sox have gone under the number 24 times in 44 games with one of those being a push. The Yankees have gone under in 25 of their 45 games with two games pushing. The Yankees' pitching staff has a 2.91 team ERA. The White Sox have the worst offense in the league and will struggle to score off of Gil.  

Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play

Juan Soto loves playing in the Big Apple. He is hitting .302, with nine home runs and 34 RBs. The Yankees 2.91 team ERA is second in all of baseball.  Luis Gi will go for the Yankees, he is 4-1 with a 2.51 ERA, and 48 strikeouts. Chicago will go with Brad Keller on the mound. He is 0-1, with a  2.84 ERA.. The problem with Chicago is when they do get a good pitching performance they have the worst offense in baseball. I don’t see them scoring enough against Gil and the Yankees will win by multiple runs.

Play on the Yankees minus 1.5 runs.  This is a 3% play